Question

Will the US government maintain a public list of incidents related to AI safety on January 1, 2030?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters26

Community Prediction50% (27% - 67%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Authors:

sandman

Opened:

Jan 28, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 15, 2030

AGI Readiness Index

Artificial Intelligence

The author of SB 1047 introduces a new AI bill in California

TechCrunch•Mar 4, 2025

Why those reports of DOGE using AI have experts worried about ‘massive risk’

CNN•Mar 4, 2025

Who’s responsible for keeping a leash on the AI beast?

Strategic Culture•Mar 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on CBRN?

40%

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

63%

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

70%

Comments

? comments