Question
Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?
Total Forecasters561
Community PredictionRevealed in 4 weeks
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2025
Closes:Mar 30, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Mar 31, 2025
Will any AI system beat a team of human pros in a forecasting tournament before 2030?
72%
Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026?
61%
Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2025
Closes:Mar 30, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Mar 31, 2025
Will any AI system beat a team of human pros in a forecasting tournament before 2030?
72%
Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026?
61%