Question

Israel and Hamas signed a ceasefire on January 15 2025, which came into effect on January 19 2025. By when will one side or both break the ceasefire?

Total Forecasters20
Community PredictionRevealed in 3 quarters

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QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%...
median...
upper 75%...
Upper bound
>2025-12-31
Authors:
Opened:Jan 23, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025

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