Question
How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 105
Make a Prediction
Number of hostages | My Prediction | Me | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
≤9 | 0.1% | |||
10-19 | 0.1% | |||
20-29 | 64.3% | |||
30-39 | 25.9% | |||
≥40 | 9.7% | |||
Total: ?
(? remaining)Authors:
Opened:Jan 24, 2025
Closes:Mar 29, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Apr 5, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?
15%
Israel and Hamas signed a ceasefire on January 15 2025, which came into effect on January 19 2025. By when will one side or both break the ceasefire?
Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?
6%
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Jan 24, 2025
Closes:Mar 29, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Apr 5, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?
15%
Israel and Hamas signed a ceasefire on January 15 2025, which came into effect on January 19 2025. By when will one side or both break the ceasefire?
Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?
6%