Question
What will be the difference between the Arena Score of o3 and the next best model on Chatbot Arena, on April 5, 2025?
Total Forecasters84
Community Prediction-30 (-30 - -15.8)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<-30 | 57.3% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | <-30 | — |
median | <-30 | — |
upper 75% | -15.78 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>30 | 1.3% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jan 24, 2025
Closes:Mar 15, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Apr 5, 2025
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Jan 24, 2025
Closes:Mar 15, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Apr 5, 2025