Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Joe Biden be the Democratic candidate in the 2020 US presidential election?

Resolved :Yes95%
30
105
Total Forecasters263
Community Prediction95% (89% - 97%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-70.2
Community Peer Score
24.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Future Perfect 2020 Series
Elections
2016-2020 Leaderboard
United States
2020 US presidential election
Democratic Party (US)
Joe Biden

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