Question

By November 2nd, 2020, will 80% or fewer people be employed by DeepMind than the 836 employed today?

Resolved :No1%

15 comments15

Total Forecasters174

Community Prediction1% (1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

82.7

Community Beer Score

4.6

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Foresight 2020 Contest

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Alphabet

DeepMind

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

67%

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Foresight 2020 Contest

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Alphabet

DeepMind

A comprehensive list of 2024 tech layoffs

TechCrunch•Dec 13, 2024

Public salary data reveals how much xAI pays some workers compared to OpenAI

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Microsoft AI CEO Mustafa Suleyman Is in a Talent War With His Former Companies

Observer (NY)•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

67%

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By November 2nd, 2020, will 80% or fewer people be employed by DeepMind than the 836 employed today?

Make a Prediction

Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Comments

Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?