Question

By November 2nd, 2020, will 80% or fewer people be employed by DeepMind than the 836 employed today?

Resolved :No

15 comments15

Total Forecasters174

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

82.7

Community Peer Score

4.6

median 1.0%mean 2.0%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Foresight 2020 Contest

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Alphabet

DeepMind

Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

67%

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Foresight 2020 Contest

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Alphabet

DeepMind

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Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026?

67%