Question

How many seats will the Labour and Co-operative Parties win in the next UK general election?

Resolved :203211

26 comments26

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction211 (180 - 242)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

180.4

211.2

241.6

What was the final result?203

Community Baseline Score

83.4

Community Peer Score

11.9

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Labour seems to be flailing, but keep faith: Starmer’s long-term plans are both radical and sound | Polly Toynbee

Guardian•Dec 17, 2024

Up to 100 Labour MPs could vote against Waspi payout refusal

Guardian•Dec 19, 2024

Starmer should not be the fall guy for Labour’s failures. This disaster was written by committee | Owen Jones

Guardian•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

129

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

70%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Labour seems to be flailing, but keep faith: Starmer’s long-term plans are both radical and sound | Polly Toynbee

Guardian•Dec 17, 2024

Up to 100 Labour MPs could vote against Waspi payout refusal

Guardian•Dec 19, 2024

Starmer should not be the fall guy for Labour’s failures. This disaster was written by committee | Owen Jones

Guardian•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

129

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

70%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

How many seats will the Labour and Co-operative Parties win in the next UK general election?

Make a Prediction

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Comments

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?