Question

How many seats will the Labour and Co-operative Parties win in the next UK general election?

Resolved :203211

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction211 (180 - 242)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	180.4	211.2	241.6
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	180.4	—
median	211.2	—
upper 75%	241.6	—

What was the final result?203

Community Baseline Score

83.4

Community Peer Score

11.9

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Nov 1, 2019

Closes:

Dec 10, 2019

Resolves:

Dec 10, 2019

Tories fight abolition of hereditary peers as Labour’s Lords reforms stall

Guardian•Mar 3, 2025

The UK could learn from Germany – as its left wing already starts to regroup after elections

Canary•Mar 4, 2025

Hundreds – including Jeremy Corbyn – attend sold-out launch of ‘Assemble’ in Southport

Canary•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

129

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

66%

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

55%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Nov 1, 2019

Closes:

Dec 10, 2019

Resolves:

Dec 10, 2019

Tories fight abolition of hereditary peers as Labour’s Lords reforms stall

Guardian•Mar 3, 2025

The UK could learn from Germany – as its left wing already starts to regroup after elections

Canary•Mar 4, 2025

Hundreds – including Jeremy Corbyn – attend sold-out launch of ‘Assemble’ in Southport

Canary•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

129

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

66%

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

55%