M

Question

How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

Total Forecasters116
Community Prediction40.6 (4.65 - 1.14k)

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CDF

weight:
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%4.647
median40.59
upper 75%1.135k
Upper bound
>1M3.8%
Authors:
Opened:Nov 8, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030

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