Question
If Conservatives win the 2019 UK general election, what will be mean UK broadband download speeds 5 years later?
Resolved :Above upper boundTotal Forecasters46
Community Prediction
90.6
(71.6 - 100)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <30 | 1.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 71.59 | — |
| median | 90.64 | — |
| upper 75% | >100 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100 | 28.5% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
10.3
Community Peer Score
83.8
Authors:
Opened:Nov 18, 2019
Closes:Jun 30, 2024
Resolves:Sep 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 20, 2019
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
25%
Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?
35%
If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?
129
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Nov 18, 2019
Closes:Jun 30, 2024
Resolves:Sep 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 20, 2019
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
25%
Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?
35%
If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?
129