Question

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction53% (50% - 58%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 53%

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Nov 20, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Health & Pandemics

Infectious disease

Eradication of dracunculiasis

World Health Organization

4-year-old dies of Ebola in Uganda raising concerns of spreading outbreak

Independent•Mar 2, 2025

Child dies of Ebola in Uganda, raising concern over disease surveillance in outbreak

•Mar 2, 2025

International: Child dies of Ebola in Uganda, raising concern over disease surveillance in outbreak, ET HealthWorld

•Mar 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

42%

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

23%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Nov 20, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Health & Pandemics

Infectious disease

Eradication of dracunculiasis

World Health Organization

4-year-old dies of Ebola in Uganda raising concerns of spreading outbreak

Independent•Mar 2, 2025

Child dies of Ebola in Uganda, raising concern over disease surveillance in outbreak

•Mar 2, 2025

International: Child dies of Ebola in Uganda, raising concern over disease surveillance in outbreak, ET HealthWorld

•Mar 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

42%

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

23%