Question

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters51

Community Prediction52% (48% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Infectious disease

Eradication of dracunculiasis

World Health Organization

'Murder hornet' eradicated from the U.S., officials announce

NBC•Dec 19, 2024

Invasive ‘murder hornets’ are wiped out in the US, officials say

CNN•Dec 19, 2024

America has won its war against the murder hornets

Independent•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

43.9%

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

35%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Infectious disease

Eradication of dracunculiasis

World Health Organization

'Murder hornet' eradicated from the U.S., officials announce

NBC•Dec 19, 2024

Invasive ‘murder hornets’ are wiped out in the US, officials say

CNN•Dec 19, 2024

America has won its war against the murder hornets

Independent•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

43.9%

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

35%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

Make a Prediction

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

Comments

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?