Question

When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction

Mar 2032

(Jun 2029 - Mar 2037)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>Dec 2039
community	Jun 2029	Mar 2032	Mar 2037	16.4%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Jun 2029	—
median	Mar 2032	—
upper 75%	Mar 2037	—
Upper bound
>220881600000%	16.4%	—

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Nov 22, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2040

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 24, 2019

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