Question

What will the mean of the year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be, in the three year period ending in November 2023?

Resolved :3851.4

Total Forecasters26

Community Prediction51.4 (37.1 - 66.6)

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CDF

	<10	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>120
community	3.3%	37.06	51.39	66.55	1.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<10	3.3%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	37.06	—
median	51.39	—
upper 75%	66.55	—
Upper bound
>120	1.3%	—

What was the final result?38

Community Baseline Score

27.4

Community Peer Score

0.7

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Nov 23, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Computing and Math

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Information technology

TOP500

Software engineering

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