Question

What will the earliest preservation date of any resuscitated cryonics patient be?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters50

Community Prediction2058-03-30 (2033-11-18 - 2091-01-16)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2099-12-01

...

2033-11-18 06:26

2058-03-30 06:23

2091-01-16 02:44

21.1%

Authors:

pranomostro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Technology

Gerontology

Ethics

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Biotechnology

Medicine

Cryonics

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Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

51%

When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded, if this occurs by year 2200?

2096-08-14

Comments

? comments

Authors:

pranomostro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Technology

Gerontology

Ethics

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Biotechnology

Medicine

Cryonics

Could hibernation technology allow humans to skip winters?

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

Millionaire biohacker Bryan Johnson makes shock Netflix announcement

Daily Mail•Dec 13, 2024

Greenland sharks have massive genomes. Scientists think they could be the reason behind 400-year-long lifespans

CNN•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

51%

When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded, if this occurs by year 2200?

2096-08-14

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What will the earliest preservation date of any resuscitated cryonics patient be?

Make a Prediction

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded, if this occurs by year 2200?

Comments

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded, if this occurs by year 2200?

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded, if this occurs by year 2200?

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded, if this occurs by year 2200?