Question

What will the earliest preservation date of any resuscitated cryonics patient be?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters51

Community Prediction

2062

(2036 - 2099)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2099
community	2036	2062	>2099	26.9%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	2036	—
median	2062	—
upper 75%	>2099	—
Upper bound
>409976640000%	26.9%	—

Authors:

pranomostro

Opened:

Dec 1, 2019

Closes:

Jan 11, 2053

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 10, 2200

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 3, 2019

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Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

50%

When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded, if this occurs by year 2200?

2093

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