Question

Will US consumers be unable to purchase the Cavendish banana at major US grocery chains on December 31, 2029?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters54

Community Prediction18% (14% - 21.3%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 18%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Agriculture

Fusarium oxysporum f.sp. cubense

Plant pathology

Bioversity International

The Burmese python problem: how 20ft predators are wreaking havoc on the Everglades

Guardian•Dec 14, 2024

Fears grow over invasion of 'unusually brainy' dog-sized lizards 'that eat everything in sight'

Daily Mail•Dec 15, 2024

American chestnuts are part of Yuletide lore. But in the US, they’ve nearly been wiped out

Associated Press•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Cavendish account for less than 50% of banana exports worldwide before 2035?

48%

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31.2%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Agriculture

Fusarium oxysporum f.sp. cubense

Plant pathology

Bioversity International

The Burmese python problem: how 20ft predators are wreaking havoc on the Everglades

Guardian•Dec 14, 2024

Fears grow over invasion of 'unusually brainy' dog-sized lizards 'that eat everything in sight'

Daily Mail•Dec 15, 2024

American chestnuts are part of Yuletide lore. But in the US, they’ve nearly been wiped out

Associated Press•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Cavendish account for less than 50% of banana exports worldwide before 2035?

48%

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31.2%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will US consumers be unable to purchase the Cavendish banana at major US grocery chains on December 31, 2029?

Make a Prediction

Will the Cavendish account for less than 50% of banana exports worldwide before 2035?

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

Comments

Will the Cavendish account for less than 50% of banana exports worldwide before 2035?

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

Will the Cavendish account for less than 50% of banana exports worldwide before 2035?

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

Will the Cavendish account for less than 50% of banana exports worldwide before 2035?

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?