Question

Will any OECD country achieve a 10% or greater reduction in the national rate of obesity for 3 consecutive years before 2030?

47 comments47

Total Forecasters114

Community Prediction31.1% (15% - 36%)

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50%

community: 31.1%

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

US obesity rates drop for the first time in a decade likely due to popular weight loss medications

New York Post•Dec 16, 2024

New study finds first US obesity decline in 10 years. Is Ozempic a leading factor?

USA Today•Dec 17, 2024

Americans Are Less Obese Than Before

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of Americans will be obese in 2032?

44.3

What percentage of Americans will be obese or overweight in 2030?

68.5

Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?

20%

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