Question

Will any OECD country achieve a 10% or greater reduction in the national rate of obesity for 3 consecutive years before 2030?

47 comments47

Total Forecasters114

Community Prediction31.1% (15% - 36%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 31.1%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 13, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

UK obesity rates ‘may start dropping significantly’ this year because of weight loss jabs

Independent•Jan 21, 2025

With the knives out on development spending, have we reached ‘peak aid’? | Nilima Gulrajani and Jessica Pudussery

Guardian•Jan 23, 2025

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Newsweek•Jan 24, 2025

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What percentage of Americans will be obese in 2032?

What percentage of Americans will be obese or overweight in 2030?

68.5

Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?

18%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 13, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

UK obesity rates ‘may start dropping significantly’ this year because of weight loss jabs

Independent•Jan 21, 2025

With the knives out on development spending, have we reached ‘peak aid’? | Nilima Gulrajani and Jessica Pudussery

Guardian•Jan 23, 2025

Crackdown on Ozempic, Wegovy Hits Thousands In Colorado

Newsweek•Jan 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of Americans will be obese in 2032?

What percentage of Americans will be obese or overweight in 2030?

68.5

Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?

18%