🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the Conservative Party form the first government after the next UK general election?

Resolved :No10%
28
91
Total Forecasters277
Community Prediction10% (5% - 16%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
2.1
Community Peer Score
22.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2016-2025 Leaderboard
House of Commons of the UK
2019 United Kingdom general election
Conservative Party (UK)
United Kingdom

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