Question

Will Kim Jong-un still be the de facto leader of North Korea on 1 January 2022?

Resolved :Yes99%

119 comments119

Total Forecasters453

Community Prediction99% (98% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

84.5

Community Peer Score

19.1

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Jan 8, 2020

Closes:

Dec 1, 2021

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2021

Geopolitics

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Workers' Party of Korea

North Korea reopens to tourists just in time for late leader Kim Jong Il's birthday

NBC•Feb 15, 2025

North Korea’s Kim makes rare visit to father’s tomb

Independent•Feb 18, 2025

North Korea’s Kim makes rare visit to father’s tomb, pledging his devotion to ‘sacred struggle’

NBC•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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2044-11-02

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