MetaculusM

Question

Will one UN member state recognize Kurdistan before 2036?

3

Total Forecasters8

Community Prediction17% (10% - 19%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 17%

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 11, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2036

US-Allies Lose Ground to Turkey-Backed Rebels in Syria

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

US Assures Syrian Kurdish SDF After Turkish FM Says Goal Is to Wipe Them Out

AntiWar•Feb 16, 2025

Syria Warns Kurds Will Be Excluded From National Dialogue If They Don’t Disarm and Submit

AntiWar•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Feb 11, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2036

US-Allies Lose Ground to Turkey-Backed Rebels in Syria

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

US Assures Syrian Kurdish SDF After Turkish FM Says Goal Is to Wipe Them Out

AntiWar•Feb 16, 2025

Syria Warns Kurds Will Be Excluded From National Dialogue If They Don’t Disarm and Submit

AntiWar•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch