Question

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

49 comments49

Total Forecasters271

Community Prediction57%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 57%

median 57.0%mean 54.4%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence

Will there be at least 200 companies developing technologies to defeat aging by 2025?

80%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

42%

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

52.2%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence

Today’s oldies don’t envy the young

Spectator (UK)•Nov 12, 2024

The Quest for Immortality: What Do Scientists Say?

Psychology Today•Nov 16, 2024

Potential Science-Based Alzheimer’s Remedies in Unlikely Places?

PJ Media•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be at least 200 companies developing technologies to defeat aging by 2025?

80%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

42%

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

52.2%