Question

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

49 comments49

Total Forecasters273

Community Prediction58% (45% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 58%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Jan 12, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence

California Faces 'Unprecedented' Population Shift

Newsweek•Feb 12, 2025

Living Longer, Planning Smarter: Future Impact Of More Centenarians

Forbes•Feb 16, 2025

Bioengineers Reveal Key to Reversing Cellular Aging

Newsweek•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

50%

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

52.2%

Will NAD+ boosters be shown in a systematic review to increase human lifespan by >=5% by 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Jan 12, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence

California Faces 'Unprecedented' Population Shift

Newsweek•Feb 12, 2025

Living Longer, Planning Smarter: Future Impact Of More Centenarians

Forbes•Feb 16, 2025

Bioengineers Reveal Key to Reversing Cellular Aging

Newsweek•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

50%

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

52.2%