Question
Question
When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
Total Forecasters1523
Community Prediction2027-10-21
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My Prediction
community<2020-03-27
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2200-01-04
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0.2%
2025-12-25 01:42
2027-10-21 00:48
2032-03-30 06:26
2.0%
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
2032-07-31
After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?
42.2
After a weak AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent oracle?
19.7
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
2032-07-31
After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?
42.2
After a weak AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent oracle?
19.7