Question
When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
Total Forecasters1558
Community Prediction2026-11-15 (2025-08-29 - 2029-07-26)
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CDF
weight:
My Prediction
community<2020-03-27
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2200-01-04
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0.3%
2025-08-29 12:07
2026-11-15 04:14
2029-07-26 16:39
0.9%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 18, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 18, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch