Question
When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
Total Forecasters1558
Community Prediction2026-11-19 (2025-09-01 - 2029-08-07)
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CDF
weight:
My Prediction
community<2020-03-27
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2200-01-04
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0.3%
2025-09-01 13:05
2026-11-19 07:46
2029-08-07 14:45
0.9%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 18, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 18, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch