Question
When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
Total Forecasters1531
Community Prediction2027-06-03 (2025-10-22 - 2031-05-21)
Make a Prediction
My Prediction
community<2020-03-27
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2200-01-04
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0.7%
2025-10-22 21:57
2027-06-03 18:07
2031-05-21 12:46
1.6%
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
2032-03-08
After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?
46.6
After a weak AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent oracle?
20.3
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
2032-03-08
After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?
46.6
After a weak AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent oracle?
20.3