🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?

Resolved :No6%
82
82
Total Forecasters423
Community Prediction6% (2% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 6%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
26.6
Community Peer Score
45.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
cortezon.francois
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Social Sciences
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Jeanne Calment
Emma Morano
List of the oldest living people

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