Question

In the year 2020, will no gene drive be launched to fight malaria-carrying mosquitoes in any part of the world?

Resolved :Yes99%

10 comments10

Total Forecasters105

Community Prediction99% (99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

79.0

Community Peer Score

9.4

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Jan 14, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 3, 2021

Future Perfect 2020 Series

Alex Marlow: Bill Gates-Funded Researchers Turned Mosquitoes into Flying Syringes to Deliver Vaccines

Breitbart•Jan 26, 2025

Researchers Funded by Bill Gates Turn Mosquitoes into ‘Flying Syringes’ to Deliver Vaccines

Breitbart•Jan 27, 2025

'Flying Vaccinators': Researchers at Bill Gates-Backed Center Inject Test Subjects With Malaria Parasite

Red State•Jan 27, 2025

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