Question

Will the number of people in extreme poverty in 2020 be lower than the number in 2015?

Resolved :Yes65%

17 comments17

Total Forecasters96

Community Prediction65% (62% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 65%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

46.9

Community Peer Score

0.5

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Jan 14, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2021

Resolves:

Oct 3, 2023

Future Perfect 2020 Series

Economy & Business

Social Sciences

2016-2025 Leaderboard

World population

Extreme poverty

World Bank

Purchasing power parity

Billionaires’ wealth soared in 2024, anti-poverty group says as the elites prepare for another Davos

Associated Press•Jan 20, 2025

Billionaires' wealth skyrocketed last year, anti-poverty group says ahead of Davos gathering

CBS•Jan 20, 2025

Five Trillionaires Predicted to Emerge in Next Decade: Report

Newsweek•Jan 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the percentage of the world population in $1.90-a-day (2011 PPP) poverty be in 2030?

5.96

Five years after AGI, what % of people will be living in extreme poverty?

4.67

How many people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years?

4.63B

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