Question

Will the average world temperature in 2020 be higher than in 2019?

Resolved :Yes

17 comments17

Total Forecasters172

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

47.3

Community Peer Score

15.5

median 99.0%mean 96.0%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Future Perfect 2020 Series

Environmental science

Instrumental temperature record

Climate change denial

El Niño–Southern Oscillation

Will the following years be the warmest year on record?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

20%

When will the global annual mean surface air temperature moving average first exceed 1.3°C relative to the 1951-1980 base period?

2029-12-17

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