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Question

Question

Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?

906

452 comments452

Total Forecasters4232

Community Prediction1%

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50%

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 6.8%

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Mars Project

Wernher von Braun

SpaceX reusable launch system

SpaceX Mars transportation infrastructure

Colonization of Mars

London to New York in 30 MINUTES: SpaceX's Starship could soon transport passengers on long-distance trips at dizzying speeds of up to 16,700mph - as Elon Musk claims 'this is now possible' following

Daily Mail•Nov 13, 2024

SpaceX Starship: Everything you’ve ever wondered but were afraid to ask

TechCrunch•Nov 16, 2024

Development of Elon Musk's rocket to Mars will likely take off under Trump

NPR Online News•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

Will NASA land people on Mars prior to 2030?

Will NASA return a sample of material from the surface of Mars to Earth before SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Mars Project

Wernher von Braun

SpaceX reusable launch system

SpaceX Mars transportation infrastructure

Colonization of Mars

London to New York in 30 MINUTES: SpaceX's Starship could soon transport passengers on long-distance trips at dizzying speeds of up to 16,700mph - as Elon Musk claims 'this is now possible' following

Daily Mail•Nov 13, 2024

SpaceX Starship: Everything you’ve ever wondered but were afraid to ask

TechCrunch•Nov 16, 2024

Development of Elon Musk's rocket to Mars will likely take off under Trump

NPR Online News•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

Will NASA land people on Mars prior to 2030?

Will NASA return a sample of material from the surface of Mars to Earth before SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?