Question

Will the GOP hold the Senate on January 3rd 2021?

Resolved :Yes99%

81 comments81

Total Forecasters261

Community Prediction99% (95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

26.5

Community Beer Score

-6.2

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Future Perfect 2020 Series

2020 Leaderboard

Dylan Matthews

Democratic Party (US)

Maine

Brett Kavanaugh

Colorado

2020 United States Senate elections

Arizona

Susan Collins

North Carolina

McConnell's Senate money machine makes transition to Thune as new era begins

FOX News•Dec 11, 2024

Trump's victory sets up fight for the House on his turf in 2026

NBC•Dec 14, 2024

How Republicans view their party and key issues facing the country as the 118th Congress begins

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

99%

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

15%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Future Perfect 2020 Series

2020 Leaderboard

Dylan Matthews

Democratic Party (US)

Maine

Brett Kavanaugh

Colorado

2020 United States Senate elections

Arizona

Susan Collins

North Carolina

McConnell's Senate money machine makes transition to Thune as new era begins

FOX News•Dec 11, 2024

Trump's victory sets up fight for the House on his turf in 2026

NBC•Dec 14, 2024

How Republicans view their party and key issues facing the country as the 118th Congress begins

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

99%

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

15%

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Will the GOP hold the Senate on January 3rd 2021?

Make a Prediction

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

Comments

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?