Question
What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?
Total Forecasters334
Community Prediction44.8 (40.3 - 49.5)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <15 | 0.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 40.26 | — |
| median | 44.81 | — |
| upper 75% | 49.52 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >65 | 1.9% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Feb 17, 2025
Closes:Mar 18, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Mar 20, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 17, 2025
Closes:Mar 18, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Mar 20, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch