Question
In what year will there will be High Level Machine Intelligence which can accomplish every cognitive task better and more cheaply than human workers?
Total Forecasters6
Community Prediction2031-07-23 (2028-03-24 - 2041-05-03)
Make a Prediction
CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Mar 2028 | — |
| median | Jul 2031 | — |
| upper 75% | May 2041 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2070-02-01 | 10.4% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Feb 9, 2025
Closed:Feb 17, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Feb 9, 2025
Closed:Feb 17, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
