Question
How many infections of COVID-19 will be estimated to have occurred before 2021? [50k-1B range]
Resolved :Above upper bound331MTotal Forecasters330
Community Prediction331M (64M - 1B)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<50k | 0.4% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 63.95M | — |
median | 331.2M | — |
upper 75% | >1B | — |
Upper bound | ||
>1B | 28.8% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
30.1
Community Peer Score
92.5
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2020
Closes:Mar 28, 2020
Resolves:Jan 17, 2022
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2020
Closes:Mar 28, 2020
Resolves:Jan 17, 2022