M

Question

How many infections of COVID-19 will be estimated to have occurred before 2021? [50k-1B range]

Resolved :Above upper bound331M
Total Forecasters330
Community Prediction331M (64M - 1B)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<50k0.4%
Quartiles
lower 25%63.95M
median331.2M
upper 75%>1B
Upper bound
>1B28.8%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
30.1
Community Peer Score
92.5
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2020
Closes:Mar 28, 2020
Resolves:Jan 17, 2022

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