🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many people will die as a result of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) before 2021?

Resolved :5.08M2.04M
172
270
Total Forecasters545
Community Prediction2.04M (1.52M - 2.91M)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
<200
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100M
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
1.521M
2.044M
2.909M
0.6%

What was the final result?5.08M

Community Baseline Score
35.1
Community Peer Score
51.7
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
World Health Organization
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology

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