Question

If Trump loses the election in 2020, will he maintain that he is still the president on January 21st 2021?

Resolved :No

16 comments16

Total Forecasters154

Community Prediction24%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 24%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

83.7

Community Peer Score

14.3

median 24.0%mean 25.6%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

US House of Representatives

United States

2020 US presidential election

Donald Trump

Donald Trump Faces Legal Abyss if He Loses Election

Newsweek•Oct 26, 2024

Donald Trump Should Concede If He Loses, Supporters Say

Newsweek•Oct 27, 2024

CNN Poll: Most voters don’t think Trump will concede if he loses the 2024 election

CNN•Oct 28, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2024 US presidential election also be considered fraudulent by the losing party?

56%

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

75%

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