Question

Will a vaccine targeted at the 2019 novel coronavirus (Covid-19) be administered to at least 10,000 people in 2020?

Resolved :Yes70%

173 comments173

Total Forecasters284

Community Prediction70% (60% - 83%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

5.4

Community Beer Score

25.1

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Vaccine skeptics like Trump nominees Kennedy, Weldon are threat to public health | Opinion

USA Today•Dec 10, 2024

This drug is the 'breakthrough of the year' — and it could mean the end of the HIV epidemic

NPR Online News•Dec 13, 2024

SK Bioscience approved for Japanese encephalitis vaccine trial in Australia

Korea Herald•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

2028-06-10

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Vaccine skeptics like Trump nominees Kennedy, Weldon are threat to public health | Opinion

USA Today•Dec 10, 2024

This drug is the 'breakthrough of the year' — and it could mean the end of the HIV epidemic

NPR Online News•Dec 13, 2024

SK Bioscience approved for Japanese encephalitis vaccine trial in Australia

Korea Herald•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

2028-06-10

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%

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Will a vaccine targeted at the 2019 novel coronavirus (Covid-19) be administered to at least 10,000 people in 2020?

Make a Prediction

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Comments

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?