Question

Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?

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community: 1%

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Tamay

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Health & Pandemics

2016-2026 Leaderboard

Wuhan Institute of Virology

Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market

Extensive COVID Report Shows How Government Failed Americans

American Thinker•Dec 8, 2024

Extra: New Report Shows How Washington Fought The Lab Leak Theory

FOX News•Dec 9, 2024

Hundreds of Vials of Deadly Viruses Missing After Lab Breach

Newsweek•Dec 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis?

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

10%

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

2016-2026 Leaderboard

Wuhan Institute of Virology

Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market

Extensive COVID Report Shows How Government Failed Americans

American Thinker•Dec 8, 2024

Extra: New Report Shows How Washington Fought The Lab Leak Theory

FOX News•Dec 9, 2024

Hundreds of Vials of Deadly Viruses Missing After Lab Breach

Newsweek•Dec 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis?

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

10%

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Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?

Make a Prediction

By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis?

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Comments

By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis?

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis?

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis?

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?