Question

Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?

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Authors:

Tamay

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Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Wuhan Institute of Virology

Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market

Biden admin suppressed intel officials' views that supported COVID-19 lab leak theory: report

FOX News•Dec 31, 2024

WHO urges China to share Covid origins data, five years on from pandemic’s emergence

CNN•Dec 31, 2024

‘Moral imperative’: WHO presses China to share COVID origins data

Al Jazeera•Dec 31, 2024

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60%

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

Comments

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Wuhan Institute of Virology

Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market

Biden admin suppressed intel officials' views that supported COVID-19 lab leak theory: report

FOX News•Dec 31, 2024

WHO urges China to share Covid origins data, five years on from pandemic’s emergence

CNN•Dec 31, 2024

‘Moral imperative’: WHO presses China to share COVID origins data

Al Jazeera•Dec 31, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

60%

🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

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Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

Comments

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?