🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Region of the Americas by March 27?

Resolved :81.1k98.7k
6
17
Total Forecasters59
Community Prediction98.7k (74.3k - 133k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction
community
<1k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100M
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
74.26k
98.73k
133.3k
0.1%

What was the final result?81.1k

Community Baseline Score
39.1
Community Peer Score
28.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
ignorance.prior
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Health & Pandemics
2020 Leaderboard
Mexico
Peru
Costa Rica
Hubei
Public health
Nicaragua
El Salvador
Bolivia
Cuba

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