Question
If the total estimated number of novel coronavirus cases before 2021 exceeds 100 million, how many people will die before January 1, 2021?
Resolved :5.67M2.89MTotal Forecasters66
Community Prediction2.89M (1.13M - 7.67M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <10k | 0.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.13M | — |
| median | 2.892M | — |
| upper 75% | 7.666M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1B | 0.5% | — |
What was the final result?5.67M
Community Baseline Score
53.7
Community Peer Score
7.2
Authors:
Opened:Feb 28, 2020
Closes:May 1, 2020
Resolves:Dec 31, 2021
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 28, 2020
Closes:May 1, 2020
Resolves:Dec 31, 2021
