Question

Will at least one Metaculus user report a positive test result for novel coronavirus by the end of 2020?

Resolved :No80%

209 comments209

Total Forecasters236

Community Prediction80% (75% - 88%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-178.8

Community Peer Score

14.2

Authors:

ignorance.prior

Opened:

Feb 25, 2020

Closes:

May 1, 2020

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2021

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