Question

Will at least one Metaculus user report a positive test result for novel coronavirus by the end of 2020?

Resolved :No

209 comments209

Total Forecasters236

Community Prediction80%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-178.8

Community Peer Score

14.2

median 80.0%mean 80.5%

Authors:

ignorance.prior

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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49.1%

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10%

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47%

Comments

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