Question

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

38 comments38

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction2049-08-17 (2038-10-21 - 2066-04-26)

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2099-12-17

...

2038-10-21 11:01

2049-08-17 00:53

2066-04-26 19:51

4.6%

Authors:

Mati_Roy

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environmental science

Climate change denial

Tritium

Energy generators poke holes in Dutton’s nuclear plan as questions over costings pile up

Guardian•Dec 14, 2024

Focused Energy buys two of the world’s most powerful lasers for its fusion quest

TechCrunch•Dec 17, 2024

Commonwealth Fusion Systems just picked its first commercial site partly because of its proximity to Washington, D.C.

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

2049-06-10

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

2078-05-25

When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Mati_Roy

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environmental science

Climate change denial

Tritium

Energy generators poke holes in Dutton’s nuclear plan as questions over costings pile up

Guardian•Dec 14, 2024

Focused Energy buys two of the world’s most powerful lasers for its fusion quest

TechCrunch•Dec 17, 2024

Commonwealth Fusion Systems just picked its first commercial site partly because of its proximity to Washington, D.C.

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

2049-06-10

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

2078-05-25

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When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

Make a Prediction

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?

Comments

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?