Question
When will a fusion reactor reach ignition?
Resolved :Ambiguous2024-03-21Total Forecasters138
Community Prediction2024-03-21 (2022-09-08 - 2028-04-03)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 2022 | — |
median | 2024 | — |
upper 75% | 2028 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2100-01-01 | 0.3% | — |
What was the final result?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Jul 30, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Resolves:Jan 1, 2100
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 30, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Resolves:Jan 1, 2100