Question
What will be the ratio of fatalities to total estimated infections for COVID-19 by the end of 2020?
Resolved :0.004160.00587Total Forecasters363
Community Prediction0.00587 (0.00393 - 0.00874)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<0.001 | 1.6% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 0.003929 | — |
median | 0.005867 | — |
upper 75% | 0.008744 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>0.1 | 0.7% | — |
What was the final result?0.00416
Community Baseline Score
23.5
Community Peer Score
39.9
Authors:
Opened:Mar 5, 2020
Closes:Aug 31, 2020
Resolves:May 6, 2022
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 5, 2020
Closes:Aug 31, 2020
Resolves:May 6, 2022