M

Question

What will be the ratio of fatalities to total estimated infections for COVID-19 by the end of 2020?

Resolved :0.004160.00587
Total Forecasters363
Community Prediction0.00587 (0.00393 - 0.00874)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<0.0011.6%
Quartiles
lower 25%0.003929
median0.005867
upper 75%0.008744
Upper bound
>0.10.7%

What was the final result?0.00416

Community Baseline Score
23.5
Community Peer Score
39.9
Opened:Mar 5, 2020
Closes:Aug 31, 2020
Resolves:May 6, 2022

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