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Group
When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?
Make a Prediction
SAE Autonomy Level | resolution | ||
---|---|---|---|
Apr 15, 2021 | |||
Oct 20, 2020 | |||
SAE Autonomy Level | 25th | median | 75th |
2026-10-09 ... | 2030-06-07 ... | 2037-07-15 ... |
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2099-12-25
2021-08-26 18:42
2022-10-30 23:15
2025-08-18 03:55
0.1%
What was the final result?Apr 15, 2021
Community Baseline Score
98.0
Community Peer Score
32.9
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 66
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