Group

When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

246 forecasters

Make a Prediction

SAE Autonomy Level

resolution

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2099-12-25
community	2021	2022	2025	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	2021	—
median	2022	—
upper 75%	2025	—
Upper bound
>2099-12-25	0.1%	—

What was the final result?Apr 15, 2021

Community Baseline Score

98.0

Community Peer Score

32.9

SAE Autonomy Level

median

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Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 66

Authors:

Mati_Roy casens

Opened:

Mar 13, 2020

Closes:

Dec 29, 2119

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2120

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Technology

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