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Group
When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?
Make a Prediction
| SAE Autonomy Level | resolution | ||
|---|---|---|---|
Apr 15, 2021 | |||
Oct 20, 2020 | |||
| SAE Autonomy Level | 25th | median | 75th |
2026-10-09 ... | 2030-06-07 ... | 2037-07-15 ... | |
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2099-12-30
2022-12-23 02:20
2025-04-08 15:41
2029-03-29 18:57
0.1%
What was the final result?Oct 20, 2020
Community Baseline Score
10.1
Community Peer Score
5.8
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 123
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