Question

Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?

91 comments91

Total Forecasters1193

Community Prediction48% (27% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 48%

Authors:

NoUsernameSelected

Opened:

Mar 14, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2049

Extraterrestrial life

Biology

Panspermia

Astrobiology

New Book Reveals Why We Need An Exoplanet Reality Check

Forbes•Feb 12, 2025

Evolving intelligent life took billions of years − but it may not have been as unlikely as many scientists predicted

The Conversation•Feb 16, 2025

Intelligent Aliens May Be Common On Earth-Like Planets, Scientists Say

Forbes•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?

Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?

25%

Will we find life on Mars by 2050?

11%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NoUsernameSelected

Opened:

Mar 14, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2049

Extraterrestrial life

Biology

Panspermia

Astrobiology

New Book Reveals Why We Need An Exoplanet Reality Check

Forbes•Feb 12, 2025

Evolving intelligent life took billions of years − but it may not have been as unlikely as many scientists predicted

The Conversation•Feb 16, 2025

Intelligent Aliens May Be Common On Earth-Like Planets, Scientists Say

Forbes•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?

Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?

25%

Will we find life on Mars by 2050?

11%