Question

Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040?

239

157 comments157

Total Forecasters2239

Community Prediction95% (87% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Dec 1, 2016

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2040

AI Progress Essay Contest

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Google’s DeepMind AI Can Solve Math Problems on Par with Top Human Solvers

Scientific American•Feb 11, 2025

OpenAI's CPO says students looking to stay competitive should ask themselves a basic question when starting a task

Business Insider•Feb 11, 2025

OpenAI boss Sam Altman says human-level intelligence is coming – and it won’t be fair

Independent•Feb 12, 2025

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