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Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040?
221
146 comments
146
1d
1w
2m
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Total Forecasters
1455
Community Prediction
95%
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50%
community: 95%
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Background Info
Histogram
median
95.0%
mean
82.8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Progress Essay Contest
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Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Progress Essay Contest
AGI Outcomes
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Technology
Ethics
Linguistics
Education
Literature
Computer chess
Atari
AlphaGo
Computer vision
Google Translate
Psychology
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
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OpenAI is reportedly struggling to improve its next big AI model. It's a warning for the entire AI industry.
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