Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will a vaccine targeted at the 2019 novel coronavirus (Covid-19) be administered to at least 10M people?

Resolved :Jan 30, 20212021-09-08
34
88
Total Forecasters138
Community Prediction2021-09-08 (2021-03-06 - 2022-06-05)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2027-03-14
...
...
...
...
2021-03-06 05:49
2021-09-08 19:49
2022-06-05 02:59
4.3%

What was the final result?Jan 30, 2021

Community Baseline Score
53.7
Community Peer Score
12.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2020-2021 Leaderboard
COVID-19
COVID-19 vaccine
Public health
Medicine
Immunology
Virology
Epidemiology

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